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SPC Jan 19, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities across the U.S. for Tuesday through Tuesday night appear less than 10 percent. ...Discussion... Seasonably cold and/or dry conditions will generally persist beneath large-scale mid-level troughing encompassing much of North America (across and east of the Rockies). While little change in amplitude is forecast through this period, models continue to indicate that an initially notable ridge near/just offshore of the British Columbia and Pacific Northwest coast is in the process of weakening. As a developing low within splitting troughing to the south-southwest of this feature slowly digs toward the southern California coast, it appears that weak mid/upper troughing emerging from the subtropical eastern Pacific may shift inland across southern Baja and central Mexico Tuesday through Tuesday night. ...Lower Rio Grande Valley/Texas coastal plain into Ark-La-Tex... It appears that the evolving pattern will allow for increasing lower/mid-tropospheric moisture return across the region by late Tuesday through Tuesday night. This is likely to mainly emanate from the subtropical eastern Pacific at mid-levels, and off a modifying southwestern Gulf boundary-layer at lower levels. While forecast soundings suggest that this may contribute to developing layers of weak conditional instability, it appears that weak to negligible forcing for ascent will minimize the risk for convection capable of producing lightning, even offshore of mid/lower Texas coastal areas. ..Kerr.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities across the U.S. for Tuesday through Tuesday night appear less than 10 percent. ...Discussion... Seasonably cold and/or dry conditions will generally persist beneath large-scale mid-level troughing encompassing much of North America (across and east of the Rockies). While little change in amplitude is forecast through this period, models continue to indicate that an initially notable ridge near/just offshore of the British Columbia and Pacific Northwest coast is in the process of weakening. As a developing low within splitting troughing to the south-southwest of this feature slowly digs toward the southern California coast, it appears that weak mid/upper troughing emerging from the subtropical eastern Pacific may shift inland across southern Baja and central Mexico Tuesday through Tuesday night. ...Lower Rio Grande Valley/Texas coastal plain into Ark-La-Tex... It appears that the evolving pattern will allow for increasing lower/mid-tropospheric moisture return across the region by late Tuesday through Tuesday night. This is likely to mainly emanate from the subtropical eastern Pacific at mid-levels, and off a modifying southwestern Gulf boundary-layer at lower levels. While forecast soundings suggest that this may contribute to developing layers of weak conditional instability, it appears that weak to negligible forcing for ascent will minimize the risk for convection capable of producing lightning, even offshore of mid/lower Texas coastal areas. ..Kerr.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities across the U.S. for Tuesday through Tuesday night appear less than 10 percent. ...Discussion... Seasonably cold and/or dry conditions will generally persist beneath large-scale mid-level troughing encompassing much of North America (across and east of the Rockies). While little change in amplitude is forecast through this period, models continue to indicate that an initially notable ridge near/just offshore of the British Columbia and Pacific Northwest coast is in the process of weakening. As a developing low within splitting troughing to the south-southwest of this feature slowly digs toward the southern California coast, it appears that weak mid/upper troughing emerging from the subtropical eastern Pacific may shift inland across southern Baja and central Mexico Tuesday through Tuesday night. ...Lower Rio Grande Valley/Texas coastal plain into Ark-La-Tex... It appears that the evolving pattern will allow for increasing lower/mid-tropospheric moisture return across the region by late Tuesday through Tuesday night. This is likely to mainly emanate from the subtropical eastern Pacific at mid-levels, and off a modifying southwestern Gulf boundary-layer at lower levels. While forecast soundings suggest that this may contribute to developing layers of weak conditional instability, it appears that weak to negligible forcing for ascent will minimize the risk for convection capable of producing lightning, even offshore of mid/lower Texas coastal areas. ..Kerr.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities across the U.S. for Tuesday through Tuesday night appear less than 10 percent. ...Discussion... Seasonably cold and/or dry conditions will generally persist beneath large-scale mid-level troughing encompassing much of North America (across and east of the Rockies). While little change in amplitude is forecast through this period, models continue to indicate that an initially notable ridge near/just offshore of the British Columbia and Pacific Northwest coast is in the process of weakening. As a developing low within splitting troughing to the south-southwest of this feature slowly digs toward the southern California coast, it appears that weak mid/upper troughing emerging from the subtropical eastern Pacific may shift inland across southern Baja and central Mexico Tuesday through Tuesday night. ...Lower Rio Grande Valley/Texas coastal plain into Ark-La-Tex... It appears that the evolving pattern will allow for increasing lower/mid-tropospheric moisture return across the region by late Tuesday through Tuesday night. This is likely to mainly emanate from the subtropical eastern Pacific at mid-levels, and off a modifying southwestern Gulf boundary-layer at lower levels. While forecast soundings suggest that this may contribute to developing layers of weak conditional instability, it appears that weak to negligible forcing for ascent will minimize the risk for convection capable of producing lightning, even offshore of mid/lower Texas coastal areas. ..Kerr.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities across the U.S. for Tuesday through Tuesday night appear less than 10 percent. ...Discussion... Seasonably cold and/or dry conditions will generally persist beneath large-scale mid-level troughing encompassing much of North America (across and east of the Rockies). While little change in amplitude is forecast through this period, models continue to indicate that an initially notable ridge near/just offshore of the British Columbia and Pacific Northwest coast is in the process of weakening. As a developing low within splitting troughing to the south-southwest of this feature slowly digs toward the southern California coast, it appears that weak mid/upper troughing emerging from the subtropical eastern Pacific may shift inland across southern Baja and central Mexico Tuesday through Tuesday night. ...Lower Rio Grande Valley/Texas coastal plain into Ark-La-Tex... It appears that the evolving pattern will allow for increasing lower/mid-tropospheric moisture return across the region by late Tuesday through Tuesday night. This is likely to mainly emanate from the subtropical eastern Pacific at mid-levels, and off a modifying southwestern Gulf boundary-layer at lower levels. While forecast soundings suggest that this may contribute to developing layers of weak conditional instability, it appears that weak to negligible forcing for ascent will minimize the risk for convection capable of producing lightning, even offshore of mid/lower Texas coastal areas. ..Kerr.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities across the U.S. for Tuesday through Tuesday night appear less than 10 percent. ...Discussion... Seasonably cold and/or dry conditions will generally persist beneath large-scale mid-level troughing encompassing much of North America (across and east of the Rockies). While little change in amplitude is forecast through this period, models continue to indicate that an initially notable ridge near/just offshore of the British Columbia and Pacific Northwest coast is in the process of weakening. As a developing low within splitting troughing to the south-southwest of this feature slowly digs toward the southern California coast, it appears that weak mid/upper troughing emerging from the subtropical eastern Pacific may shift inland across southern Baja and central Mexico Tuesday through Tuesday night. ...Lower Rio Grande Valley/Texas coastal plain into Ark-La-Tex... It appears that the evolving pattern will allow for increasing lower/mid-tropospheric moisture return across the region by late Tuesday through Tuesday night. This is likely to mainly emanate from the subtropical eastern Pacific at mid-levels, and off a modifying southwestern Gulf boundary-layer at lower levels. While forecast soundings suggest that this may contribute to developing layers of weak conditional instability, it appears that weak to negligible forcing for ascent will minimize the risk for convection capable of producing lightning, even offshore of mid/lower Texas coastal areas. ..Kerr.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1036 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Florida Panhandle... Dry, post-frontal northerly to northeasterly surface winds of 10 mph (15 mph locally) across FL coinciding with RH reductions in the 20-30% range will yield an increased fire weather concern over the western/southwestern FL Panhandle through the afternoon. However, cooler temperatures and marginally receptive fuels should limit a more significant fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 01/19/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1036 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Florida Panhandle... Dry, post-frontal northerly to northeasterly surface winds of 10 mph (15 mph locally) across FL coinciding with RH reductions in the 20-30% range will yield an increased fire weather concern over the western/southwestern FL Panhandle through the afternoon. However, cooler temperatures and marginally receptive fuels should limit a more significant fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 01/19/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1036 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Florida Panhandle... Dry, post-frontal northerly to northeasterly surface winds of 10 mph (15 mph locally) across FL coinciding with RH reductions in the 20-30% range will yield an increased fire weather concern over the western/southwestern FL Panhandle through the afternoon. However, cooler temperatures and marginally receptive fuels should limit a more significant fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 01/19/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1036 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Florida Panhandle... Dry, post-frontal northerly to northeasterly surface winds of 10 mph (15 mph locally) across FL coinciding with RH reductions in the 20-30% range will yield an increased fire weather concern over the western/southwestern FL Panhandle through the afternoon. However, cooler temperatures and marginally receptive fuels should limit a more significant fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 01/19/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1036 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Florida Panhandle... Dry, post-frontal northerly to northeasterly surface winds of 10 mph (15 mph locally) across FL coinciding with RH reductions in the 20-30% range will yield an increased fire weather concern over the western/southwestern FL Panhandle through the afternoon. However, cooler temperatures and marginally receptive fuels should limit a more significant fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 01/19/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1036 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Florida Panhandle... Dry, post-frontal northerly to northeasterly surface winds of 10 mph (15 mph locally) across FL coinciding with RH reductions in the 20-30% range will yield an increased fire weather concern over the western/southwestern FL Panhandle through the afternoon. However, cooler temperatures and marginally receptive fuels should limit a more significant fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 01/19/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1036 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Florida Panhandle... Dry, post-frontal northerly to northeasterly surface winds of 10 mph (15 mph locally) across FL coinciding with RH reductions in the 20-30% range will yield an increased fire weather concern over the western/southwestern FL Panhandle through the afternoon. However, cooler temperatures and marginally receptive fuels should limit a more significant fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 01/19/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1036 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Florida Panhandle... Dry, post-frontal northerly to northeasterly surface winds of 10 mph (15 mph locally) across FL coinciding with RH reductions in the 20-30% range will yield an increased fire weather concern over the western/southwestern FL Panhandle through the afternoon. However, cooler temperatures and marginally receptive fuels should limit a more significant fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 01/19/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1036 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Florida Panhandle... Dry, post-frontal northerly to northeasterly surface winds of 10 mph (15 mph locally) across FL coinciding with RH reductions in the 20-30% range will yield an increased fire weather concern over the western/southwestern FL Panhandle through the afternoon. However, cooler temperatures and marginally receptive fuels should limit a more significant fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 01/19/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1036 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Florida Panhandle... Dry, post-frontal northerly to northeasterly surface winds of 10 mph (15 mph locally) across FL coinciding with RH reductions in the 20-30% range will yield an increased fire weather concern over the western/southwestern FL Panhandle through the afternoon. However, cooler temperatures and marginally receptive fuels should limit a more significant fire weather threat. ..Williams.. 01/19/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191630Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Discussion... Influenced by a longwave trough from the Rockies to the western Atlantic, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will be hostile for thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Guyer/Moore.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191630Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Discussion... Influenced by a longwave trough from the Rockies to the western Atlantic, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will be hostile for thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Guyer/Moore.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191630Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Discussion... Influenced by a longwave trough from the Rockies to the western Atlantic, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will be hostile for thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Guyer/Moore.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191630Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Discussion... Influenced by a longwave trough from the Rockies to the western Atlantic, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will be hostile for thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Guyer/Moore.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191630Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Discussion... Influenced by a longwave trough from the Rockies to the western Atlantic, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will be hostile for thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Guyer/Moore.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191630Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Discussion... Influenced by a longwave trough from the Rockies to the western Atlantic, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will be hostile for thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Guyer/Moore.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191630Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Discussion... Influenced by a longwave trough from the Rockies to the western Atlantic, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will be hostile for thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Guyer/Moore.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191630Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Discussion... Influenced by a longwave trough from the Rockies to the western Atlantic, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will be hostile for thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Guyer/Moore.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191630Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Discussion... Influenced by a longwave trough from the Rockies to the western Atlantic, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will be hostile for thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Guyer/Moore.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191630Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Discussion... Influenced by a longwave trough from the Rockies to the western Atlantic, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will be hostile for thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Guyer/Moore.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With large-scale upper troughing remaining dominant over the central/eastern CONUS today, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will prove hostile to thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Gleason.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With large-scale upper troughing remaining dominant over the central/eastern CONUS today, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will prove hostile to thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Gleason.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With large-scale upper troughing remaining dominant over the central/eastern CONUS today, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will prove hostile to thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Gleason.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With large-scale upper troughing remaining dominant over the central/eastern CONUS today, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will prove hostile to thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Gleason.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With large-scale upper troughing remaining dominant over the central/eastern CONUS today, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will prove hostile to thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Gleason.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With large-scale upper troughing remaining dominant over the central/eastern CONUS today, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will prove hostile to thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Gleason.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With large-scale upper troughing remaining dominant over the central/eastern CONUS today, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will prove hostile to thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Gleason.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With large-scale upper troughing remaining dominant over the central/eastern CONUS today, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will prove hostile to thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Gleason.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With large-scale upper troughing remaining dominant over the central/eastern CONUS today, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will prove hostile to thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Gleason.. 01/19/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With large-scale upper troughing remaining dominant over the central/eastern CONUS today, mostly offshore/continental low-level trajectories will prove hostile to thunderstorms across the CONUS. ..Gleason.. 01/19/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0331 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential is expected to be low during the Day 4-8 period. Some modest Gulf moisture will impinge on the coastal regions from TX into MS/AL/FL beginning Day 4/Thu. Warm advection will allow for showers and perhaps isolated thunderstorms, but weak forcing for ascent and only very minor instability will preclude severe potential. By Day 5-6/Fri-Sat, a deepening upper trough over the western U.S. will develop east across portions of the Plains and Midwest. A strong arctic cold front will move across the middle of the country, ushering in another punch of cold to very cold air and once again shunting Gulf moisture offshore. Some thunderstorm activity could occur ahead of this front across the Gulf coast states, but deeper moisture return is not expected and will be insufficient for severe storms. Surface high pressure and a cold/stable airmass will persist over much of the CONUS behind the arctic cold front on Days 7-8/Sun-Mon. Read more
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0331 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential is expected to be low during the Day 4-8 period. Some modest Gulf moisture will impinge on the coastal regions from TX into MS/AL/FL beginning Day 4/Thu. Warm advection will allow for showers and perhaps isolated thunderstorms, but weak forcing for ascent and only very minor instability will preclude severe potential. By Day 5-6/Fri-Sat, a deepening upper trough over the western U.S. will develop east across portions of the Plains and Midwest. A strong arctic cold front will move across the middle of the country, ushering in another punch of cold to very cold air and once again shunting Gulf moisture offshore. Some thunderstorm activity could occur ahead of this front across the Gulf coast states, but deeper moisture return is not expected and will be insufficient for severe storms. Surface high pressure and a cold/stable airmass will persist over much of the CONUS behind the arctic cold front on Days 7-8/Sun-Mon. Read more
SPC Jan 19, 2026 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0331 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential is expected to be low during the Day 4-8 period. Some modest Gulf moisture will impinge on the coastal regions from TX into MS/AL/FL beginning Day 4/Thu. Warm advection will allow for showers and perhaps isolated thunderstorms, but weak forcing for ascent and only very minor instability will preclude severe potential. By Day 5-6/Fri-Sat, a deepening upper trough over the western U.S. will develop east across portions of the Plains and Midwest. A strong arctic cold front will move across the middle of the country, ushering in another punch of cold to very cold air and once again shunting Gulf moisture offshore. Some thunderstorm activity could occur ahead of this front across the Gulf coast states, but deeper moisture return is not expected and will be insufficient for severe storms. Surface high pressure and a cold/stable airmass will persist over much of the CONUS behind the arctic cold front on Days 7-8/Sun-Mon. Read more
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0331 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential is expected to be low during the Day 4-8 period. Some modest Gulf moisture will impinge on the coastal regions from TX into MS/AL/FL beginning Day 4/Thu. Warm advection will allow for showers and perhaps isolated thunderstorms, but weak forcing for ascent and only very minor instability will preclude severe potential. By Day 5-6/Fri-Sat, a deepening upper trough over the western U.S. will develop east across portions of the Plains and Midwest. A strong arctic cold front will move across the middle of the country, ushering in another punch of cold to very cold air and once again shunting Gulf moisture offshore. Some thunderstorm activity could occur ahead of this front across the Gulf coast states, but deeper moisture return is not expected and will be insufficient for severe storms. Surface high pressure and a cold/stable airmass will persist over much of the CONUS behind the arctic cold front on Days 7-8/Sun-Mon. Read more
