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NWS-FWD Issues Hazardous Weather Outlook on Thu, 2 Sep 2010 11:01:00 CDT

Hazardous Weather Outlook - 49 min 45 sec ago
FLUS44 KFWD 030401 HWOFWD HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1101 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-040415- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 1101 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY FOR AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. THERE WILL ALSO BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON LABOR DAY...AND AREA WIDE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. $$

NWS-FWD Issues Area Forecast Discussion on Thu, 2 Sep 2010 11:00:00 CDT

Area Forecast Discussion - 50 min 45 sec ago
FXUS64 KFWD 030400 AFDFWD AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1100 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 .UPDATE... SQUALL LINE REALLY FELL APART QUICKLY AS IT REACHED THE CWA. WILL LOWER POPS A BIT AND TONE DOWN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IN OTHER PRODUCTS. OTHERWISE...STILL EXPECTING SOME SCATTERED UNORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE REMAINING IN PLACE. TR.92 && .AVIATION... HAVE MOVED UP THE FROPA/THUNDERSTORMS TO MIDNIGHT FOR THE METROPLEX...BASED ON THE GFS/RUC/AND EXTRAPOLATION OF THE LINE IN OKLAHOMA. TIMING UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN...SO ADJUSTMENTS MAY BE NECESSARY. SOME MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT BUT THE DRY AIR FARTHER BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LIFT THEM TO VFR BEFORE SUNRISE IN THE METROPLEX. KACT EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE EVENT SINCE IT WILL BE WEAKER BY THE TIME IT GETS THERE. && .PREV UPDATE... .UPDATE... FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AS SQUALL LINE HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE COLD FRONT WHICH IS RAPIDLY MOVING SOUTH THROUGH OKLAHOMA. DID UPDATE TO BUMP UP THE SPEED OF FROPA A COUPLE HOURS AND TO INCREASE NORTH WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT BOTH FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. MAIN SEVERE THREAT WILL BE STRONG WINDS...AND PRIMARILY OVER THE NW ZONES...OR WEST OF I-35 AND NORTH OF I-20. THIS REGION GOT MORE UNSTABLE DURING THE DAY AND THE SEVERE PART OF THE SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE S OR EVEN SSW INTO THIS BETTER INSTABILITY AXIS. QPF WILL ALSO BE HIGHEST OVER THE WESTERN ZONES TONIGHT. FOR OTHER AREAS OF THE CWA RAIN/STORMS ARE LIKELY BUT THE SQUALL LINE SHOULD DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES INTO A MORE STABLE AND LESS SHEARED ENVIRONMENT LATER TONIGHT. TR.92 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010/ MCV FROM THIS MORNINGS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ROTATE JUST WEST OF TARRANT COUNTY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY CONCENTRATED IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES IN AN AREA OF HIGHER INSTABILITY. NORTH OF THE SOUTHERN ZONES...THE AIRMASS IS WORKED OVER BY THE MORNING CONVECTION AND TEMPERATURES ARE STRUGGLING TO REACH THE 80S FOR MANY LOCATIONS. CLOUDS CONTINUE TO SLOWLY CLEAR IN THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES WITH THE CLEARING LINE LOCATED FROM COMANCHE TO MINERAL WELLS TO GAINESVILLE. TEMPERATURES IN THIS AREA HAVE CLIMBED UP NICELY INTO THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S. THESE MESOSCALE FEATURES /SMALL AREAS WITH DIFFERENT STABILITIES AND THE MCV/ WILL ALL PLAY IMPORTANT ROLES WITH HOW EVERYTHING WILL PLAY OUT TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE CWA. AT 20Z...THE FRONT WAS LOCATED IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND IS QUICKLY PUSHING SOUTH AS NORTH WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT GUST IN EXCESS OF 30 KNOTS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG OR JUST BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS IN OKLAHOMA AS INHIBITION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. WITH HIGH CAPES AND 500 MB FLOW AROUND 20 KNOTS...STRONG UPDRAFTS SHOULD QUICKLY DEVELOP AFTER INITIATION. STORMS WILL INITIALLY HAVE A WIND THREAT BUT THEN MAY BE UNDERCUT BY THE FRONT AS IT QUICKLY MOVES SOUTH. STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH THIS EVENING THE STORM MODE WILL MOST LIKELY BE MULTI-CELLULAR. TIMING OF THE FRONT/STORMS BRINGS IT TO THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES SHORTLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT...INTO THE METROPLEX AROUND 3AM AND THEN THROUGH THE SOUTHERN ZONES AFTER DAYBREAK. GIVEN OUR CURRENT ENVIRONMENT...AREAS NORTHWEST OF THE CURRENT CLEARING LINE WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS/SEVERE WEATHER OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. EXPECTING ANY ACTIVITY TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE METROPLEX AND FURTHER SOUTH AS IT RUNS INTO A MORE STABLE AIRMASS. THERE MAY BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES POST FRONTAL TOMORROW MORNING. THE THETA-E BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL LAG BEHIND THE WIND SHIFT AT 925 AND 850 MB AFTER PUSHING SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. THE NAM PICKS UP ON THIS AND SHOWS WIDESPREAD QPF THROUGH 21Z IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES. WILL GO WITH A 40/30 POP TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. COOL/DRY AIR WILL FILTER IN SLOWLY BEHIND THE INITIAL WIND SHIFT. SOME AREAS TODAY HAVE GOTTEN AN EARLY PREVIEW OF THE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THIS WEEKEND. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE 80S TO LOWER 90S AND WITH THE DRY AIR AND LIGHT WINDS IN PLACE LOWS SATURDAY WILL REACH THE 50S FOR MANY OUTLYING AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY MODERATE AND RETURN TO THE MIDDLE 90S BY MONDAY. THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY FROM THE SOUTH AS IT ROTATES AROUND AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SE CONUS. WILL LEAVE THE 20/30 POPS IN THE FORECAST FOR MONDAY- WEDNESDAY. 85/NH && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 69 89 63 90 65 / 50 10 5 5 0 WACO, TX 72 88 62 89 61 / 40 30 5 5 0 PARIS, TX 69 86 58 85 58 / 50 10 5 5 5 DENTON, TX 69 88 58 90 59 / 60 10 5 5 0 MCKINNEY, TX 67 87 55 87 55 / 40 10 5 5 0 DALLAS, TX 71 87 64 90 66 / 40 10 5 5 0 TERRELL, TX 69 88 60 88 60 / 40 20 5 5 0 CORSICANA, TX 73 89 62 89 62 / 40 20 5 5 0 TEMPLE, TX 73 90 63 90 61 / 40 40 5 5 5 MINERAL WELLS, TX 67 88 56 89 60 / 70 10 5 5 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$

NWS-FWD Issues Short Term Forecast on Thu, 2 Sep 2010 10:41:00 CDT

Short Term Forecast - Thu, 2010-09-02 22:41
FPUS74 KFWD 030341 NOWFWD SHORT TERM FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1041 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-030545- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL- NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS- LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 1041 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 .NOW... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MOST OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST OF THE NORTH TEXAS AREA...BUT A FEW STORMS MAY STILL PRODUCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WEST OF A BOWIE...TO MINERAL WELLS...TO COMANCHE LINE. OTHERWISE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. ELSEWHERE...SOME WIDELY SPACED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WITH LIGHTER RAINFALL AMOUNTS. A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM PARIS TO DENTON TO GRAHAM AT 1030 PM AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH AT 30 MPH. WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT. $$

NWS-FWD Issues Special Weather Statement on Thu, 2 Sep 2010 10:37:00 CDT for the following counties: Stephens-TX

WWUS84 KFWD 030337 SPSFWD SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1037 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 TXZ115-030400- STEPHENS TX- 1037 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR... WESTERN STEPHENS COUNTY AT 1036 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES SOUTH OF THROCKMORTON TO 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THROCKMORTON...MOVING SOUTH AT 40 MPH. CITIES IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE BRECKENRIDGE AND GUNSIGHT. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THESE STORMS. THE STRONGEST PART OF THE LINE WILL LIKELY STAY WEST OF STEPHENS COUNTY...BUT A WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY IF THE WIND THREAT INCREASES. LAT...LON 3291 9911 3296 9909 3296 9896 3252 9880 3252 9911 TIME...MOT...LOC 0336Z 351DEG 33KT 3292 9916 3274 9955 $$

NWS-FWD Issues Short Term Forecast on Thu, 2 Sep 2010 09:24:00 CDT

Short Term Forecast - Thu, 2010-09-02 21:23
FPUS74 KFWD 030223 NOWFWD SHORT TERM FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 924 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-030501- ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA- DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON- HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS- LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO- PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT- WISE-YOUNG- 924 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 .NOW... A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TO A GRAHAM TO GAINESVILLE LINE AROUND 1100 PM. RESIDENTS OF YOUNG...JACK... MONTAGUE AND COOKE COUNTIES CAN EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...SOME HAIL...STRONG WINDS AND INTENSE LIGHTNING AS THESE STORMS PASS THROUGH THE COUNTIES. THESE STORMS SHOULD LAST ABOUT 45 MINUTES. THE LINE OF STORMS COULD REACH I-20 WEST OF THE METROPLEX AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN METROPLEX BY 1230 AM. $$

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 642 Status Reports

WW 0642 Status Reports
STATUS REPORT ON WW 642 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW CDS TO 15 ESE LTS TO 25 ESE CHK. ..STOPPKOTTE..09/03/10 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 642 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-015-087-143-030240- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CARROLL MADISON WASHINGTON OKC001-019-021-031-033-041-049-063-067-099-101-107-111-123-133- 137-141-145-030240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR CARTER CHEROKEE COMANCHE COTTON DELAWARE GARVIN HUGHES JEFFERSON MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE PONTOTOC SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN WAGONER TXC009-023-077-155-269-275-485-487-030240- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 642 Status Reports

WW 0642 Status Reports
STATUS REPORT ON WW 642 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW CDS TO 15 ESE LTS TO 25 ESE CHK. ..STOPPKOTTE..09/03/10 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 642 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-015-087-143-030240- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CARROLL MADISON WASHINGTON OKC001-019-021-031-033-041-049-063-067-099-101-107-111-123-133- 137-141-145-030240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR CARTER CHEROKEE COMANCHE COTTON DELAWARE GARVIN HUGHES JEFFERSON MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE PONTOTOC SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN WAGONER TXC009-023-077-155-269-275-485-487-030240- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 642

WW 642 SEVERE TSTM KS OK TX 022030Z - 030300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 642 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 330 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF LARGE PART OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS LARGE PART OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF CHILDRESS TEXAS TO 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF CHANUTE KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. DISCUSSION...STRONG COLD FRONT WILL INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIR MASS. WITH DCAPES TO 1500 J/KG AND MLCAPES AOA 2000 J/KG...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME INCREASING THREAT AS STORMS DEVELOP ALONG AND FRONT AS IT CONTINUES SWD THRU THE WATCH. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30020. ...HALES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 643 Status Reports

WW 0643 Status Reports
STATUS REPORT ON WW 643 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW JLN TO 10 NW ALN TO 35 WSW SPI TO 25 ESE UIN. ..GOSS..09/03/10 ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...LOT...SGF...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 643 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-039-041-045-049-051- 053-075-079-101-105-107-113-115-117-119-121-125-129-133-135-137- 139-147-157-159-163-167-171-173-179-183-189-030240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND CASS CHAMPAIGN CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND DE WITT DOUGLAS EDGAR EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FORD IROQUOIS JASPER LAWRENCE LIVINGSTON LOGAN MCLEAN MACON MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MASON MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN MOULTRIE PIATT RANDOLPH RICHLAND ST. CLAIR SANGAMON SCOTT SHELBY TAZEWELL VERMILION WASHINGTON MOC009-011-029-039-043-055-057-059-065-067-071-073-077-085-093- 097-099-105-109-119-123-125-131-145-151-153-161-167-169-179-183- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 643 Status Reports

WW 0643 Status Reports
STATUS REPORT ON WW 643 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW JLN TO 10 NW ALN TO 35 WSW SPI TO 25 ESE UIN. ..GOSS..09/03/10 ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...LOT...SGF...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 643 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-039-041-045-049-051- 053-075-079-101-105-107-113-115-117-119-121-125-129-133-135-137- 139-147-157-159-163-167-171-173-179-183-189-030240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND CASS CHAMPAIGN CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND DE WITT DOUGLAS EDGAR EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FORD IROQUOIS JASPER LAWRENCE LIVINGSTON LOGAN MCLEAN MACON MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MASON MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN MOULTRIE PIATT RANDOLPH RICHLAND ST. CLAIR SANGAMON SCOTT SHELBY TAZEWELL VERMILION WASHINGTON MOC009-011-029-039-043-055-057-059-065-067-071-073-077-085-093- 097-099-105-109-119-123-125-131-145-151-153-161-167-169-179-183- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 643

WW 643 SEVERE TSTM IL MO 022145Z - 030500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 643 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 445 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 445 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT. HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF MONETT MISSOURI TO 25 MILES SOUTH OF DANVILLE ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 642... DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ALONG/AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING SEWD INTO LOWER MO AND MIDDLE MS VALLEYS. PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS IS WARM WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID/UPPER 80S...AND DEW POINTS IN THE LOW 70S ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE OF 1500-2500 J/KG. WINDS ALOFT AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE /ESPECIALLY OVER CNTRL PART SOF MO AND IL/ AS UPSTREAM UPPER TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE MS VALLEY TONIGHT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025. ...WEISS Read more

NWS-FWD Issues Short Term Forecast on Thu, 2 Sep 2010 08:03:00 CDT

Short Term Forecast - Thu, 2010-09-02 20:03
FPUS74 KFWD 030103 NOWFWD SHORT TERM FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 803 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-030301- ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA- DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON- HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS- LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO- PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT- WISE-YOUNG- 803 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 .NOW... LIGHT SHOWERS FROM DALLAS TO SULPHUR SPRINGS AND SOUTHWARD TO PALESTINE...CENTERVILLE AND FRANKLIN WILL WEAKEN AND DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET. OTHERWISE...IT SHOULD BE A PLEASANT EVENING ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS. HOWEVER LATER THIS EVENING...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OUT OF OKLAHOMA WITH THE NEXT COLD FRONT...AND MAY REACH A GRAHAM TO GAINESVILLE LINE AROUND 1100 PM. THE LINE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REST OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THE LATE NIGHT HOURS. NORTH TEXAS RESIDENTS SHOULD PLAN FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...SOME HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE... STRONG WINDS AND INTENSE LIGHTNING LATER TONIGHT. $$

NWS-FWD Issues Hazardous Weather Outlook on Thu, 2 Sep 2010 07:38:00 CDT

Hazardous Weather Outlook - Thu, 2010-09-02 19:38
FLUS44 KFWD 030038 HWOFWD HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 738 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-040045- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 738 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT. STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...ESPECIALLY IN THE AREA THAT IS NORTH OF I-20 AND WEST OF I-35...AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS. OTHERWISE...ALL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY FOR AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. THERE WILL ALSO BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON LABOR DAY...AND AREA WIDE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BETWEEN 10 PM AND 3 AM FOR LOCATIONS MAINLY WEST OF I-35 AND NORTH OF I-20. $$

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 642 Status Reports

WW 0642 Status Reports
STATUS REPORT ON WW 642 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW CDS TO 10 S JLN. ..STOPPKOTTE..09/03/10 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 642 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-015-087-143-030140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CARROLL MADISON WASHINGTON OKC001-015-021-027-031-033-037-041-049-051-065-075-081-087-097- 101-107-109-111-125-131-133-137-141-143-145-030140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR CADDO CHEROKEE CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON CREEK DELAWARE GARVIN GRADY JACKSON KIOWA LINCOLN MCCLAIN MAYES MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN TULSA WAGONER Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 643 Status Reports

WW 0643 Status Reports
STATUS REPORT ON WW 643 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GOSS..09/03/10 ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...LOT...SGF...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 643 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-013-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-039-041-045-049- 051-053-061-075-079-083-101-105-107-113-115-117-119-121-125-129- 133-135-137-139-147-149-157-159-163-167-171-173-179-183-189- 030140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND CALHOUN CASS CHAMPAIGN CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND DE WITT DOUGLAS EDGAR EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FORD GREENE IROQUOIS JASPER JERSEY LAWRENCE LIVINGSTON LOGAN MCLEAN MACON MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MASON MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN MOULTRIE PIATT PIKE RANDOLPH RICHLAND ST. CLAIR SANGAMON SCOTT SHELBY TAZEWELL VERMILION WASHINGTON Read more

NWS-FWD Issues Area Forecast Discussion on Thu, 2 Sep 2010 07:16:00 CDT

Area Forecast Discussion - Thu, 2010-09-02 19:16
FXUS64 KFWD 030016 AFDFWD AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 716 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 .UPDATE... FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AS SQUALL LINE HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE COLD FRONT WHICH IS RAPIDLY MOVING SOUTH THROUGH OKLAHOMA. DID UPDATE TO BUMP UP THE SPEED OF FROPA A COUPLE HOURS AND TO INCREASE NORTH WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT BOTH FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. MAIN SEVERE THREAT WILL BE STRONG WINDS...AND PRIMARILY OVER THE NW ZONES...OR WEST OF I-35 AND NORTH OF I-20. THIS REGION GOT MORE UNSTABLE DURING THE DAY AND THE SEVERE PART OF THE SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE S OR EVEN SSW INTO THIS BETTER INSTABILITY AXIS. QPF WILL ALSO BE HIGHEST OVER THE WESTERN ZONES TONIGHT. FOR OTHER AREAS OF THE CWA RAIN/STORMS ARE LIKELY BUT THE SQUALL LINE SHOULD DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES INTO A MORE STABLE AND LESS SHEARED ENVIRONMENT LATER TONIGHT. TR.92 && .AVIATION... HAVE MOVED UP THE FROPA/THUNDERSTORMS TO MIDNIGHT FOR THE METROPLEX...BASED ON THE GFS/RUC/AND EXTRAPOLATION OF THE LINE IN OKLAHOMA. TIMING UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN...SO ADJUSTMENTS MAY BE NECESSARY. SOME MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT BUT THE DRY AIR FARTHER BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LIFT THEM TO VFR BEFORE SUNRISE IN THE METROPLEX. KACT EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE EVENT SINCE IT WILL BE WEAKER BY THE TIME IT GETS THERE. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010/ MCV FROM THIS MORNINGS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ROTATE JUST WEST OF TARRANT COUNTY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY CONCENTRATED IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES IN AN AREA OF HIGHER INSTABILITY. NORTH OF THE SOUTHERN ZONES...THE AIRMASS IS WORKED OVER BY THE MORNING CONVECTION AND TEMPERATURES ARE STRUGGLING TO REACH THE 80S FOR MANY LOCATIONS. CLOUDS CONTINUE TO SLOWLY CLEAR IN THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES WITH THE CLEARING LINE LOCATED FROM COMANCHE TO MINERAL WELLS TO GAINESVILLE. TEMPERATURES IN THIS AREA HAVE CLIMBED UP NICELY INTO THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S. THESE MESOSCALE FEATURES /SMALL AREAS WITH DIFFERENT STABILITIES AND THE MCV/ WILL ALL PLAY IMPORTANT ROLES WITH HOW EVERYTHING WILL PLAY OUT TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE CWA. AT 20Z...THE FRONT WAS LOCATED IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND IS QUICKLY PUSHING SOUTH AS NORTH WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT GUST IN EXCESS OF 30 KNOTS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG OR JUST BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS IN OKLAHOMA AS INHIBITION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. WITH HIGH CAPES AND 500 MB FLOW AROUND 20 KNOTS...STRONG UPDRAFTS SHOULD QUICKLY DEVELOP AFTER INITIATION. STORMS WILL INITIALLY HAVE A WIND THREAT BUT THEN MAY BE UNDERCUT BY THE FRONT AS IT QUICKLY MOVES SOUTH. STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH THIS EVENING THE STORM MODE WILL MOST LIKELY BE MULTI-CELLULAR. TIMING OF THE FRONT/STORMS BRINGS IT TO THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES SHORTLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT...INTO THE METROPLEX AROUND 3AM AND THEN THROUGH THE SOUTHERN ZONES AFTER DAYBREAK. GIVEN OUR CURRENT ENVIRONMENT...AREAS NORTHWEST OF THE CURRENT CLEARING LINE WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS/SEVERE WEATHER OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. EXPECTING ANY ACTIVITY TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE METROPLEX AND FURTHER SOUTH AS IT RUNS INTO A MORE STABLE AIRMASS. THERE MAY BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES POST FRONTAL TOMORROW MORNING. THE THETA-E BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL LAG BEHIND THE WIND SHIFT AT 925 AND 850 MB AFTER PUSHING SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. THE NAM PICKS UP ON THIS AND SHOWS WIDESPREAD QPF THROUGH 21Z IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES. WILL GO WITH A 40/30 POP TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. COOL/DRY AIR WILL FILTER IN SLOWLY BEHIND THE INITIAL WIND SHIFT. SOME AREAS TODAY HAVE GOTTEN AN EARLY PREVIEW OF THE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THIS WEEKEND. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE 80S TO LOWER 90S AND WITH THE DRY AIR AND LIGHT WINDS IN PLACE LOWS SATURDAY WILL REACH THE 50S FOR MANY OUTLYING AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY MODERATE AND RETURN TO THE MIDDLE 90S BY MONDAY. THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY FROM THE SOUTH AS IT ROTATES AROUND AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SE CONUS. WILL LEAVE THE 20/30 POPS IN THE FORECAST FOR MONDAY- WEDNESDAY. 85/NH && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 69 89 63 90 65 / 60 10 5 5 0 WACO, TX 72 88 62 89 61 / 50 30 5 5 0 PARIS, TX 69 86 58 85 58 / 50 10 5 5 5 DENTON, TX 69 88 58 90 59 / 70 10 5 5 0 MCKINNEY, TX 67 87 55 87 55 / 60 10 5 5 0 DALLAS, TX 71 87 64 90 66 / 60 10 5 5 0 TERRELL, TX 69 88 60 88 60 / 60 20 5 5 0 CORSICANA, TX 73 89 62 89 62 / 40 20 5 5 0 TEMPLE, TX 73 90 63 90 61 / 40 40 5 5 5 MINERAL WELLS, TX 67 88 56 89 60 / 80 10 5 5 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ /

NWS-FWD Issues Area Forecast Discussion on Thu, 2 Sep 2010 06:20:00 CDT

Area Forecast Discussion - Thu, 2010-09-02 18:20
FXUS64 KFWD 022320 AAA AFDFWD AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 620 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 .AVIATION... HAVE MOVED UP THE FROPA/THUNDERSTORMS TO MIDNIGHT FOR THE METROPLEX...BASED ON THE GFS/RUC/AND EXTRAPOLATION OF THE LINE IN OKLAHOMA. TIMING UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN...SO ADJUSTMENTS MAY BE NECESSARY. SOME MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT BUT THE DRY AIR FARTHER BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LIFT THEM TO VFR BEFORE SUNRISE IN THE METROPLEX. KACT EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE EVENT SINCE IT WILL BE WEAKER BY THE TIME IT GETS THERE. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010/ MCV FROM THIS MORNINGS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ROTATE JUST WEST OF TARRANT COUNTY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY CONCENTRATED IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES IN AN AREA OF HIGHER INSTABILITY. NORTH OF THE SOUTHERN ZONES...THE AIRMASS IS WORKED OVER BY THE MORNING CONVECTION AND TEMPERATURES ARE STRUGGLING TO REACH THE 80S FOR MANY LOCATIONS. CLOUDS CONTINUE TO SLOWLY CLEAR IN THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES WITH THE CLEARING LINE LOCATED FROM COMANCHE TO MINERAL WELLS TO GAINESVILLE. TEMPERATURES IN THIS AREA HAVE CLIMBED UP NICELY INTO THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S. THESE MESOSCALE FEATURES /SMALL AREAS WITH DIFFERENT STABILITIES AND THE MCV/ WILL ALL PLAY IMPORTANT ROLES WITH HOW EVERYTHING WILL PLAY OUT TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE CWA. AT 20Z...THE FRONT WAS LOCATED IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND IS QUICKLY PUSHING SOUTH AS NORTH WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT GUST IN EXCESS OF 30 KNOTS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG OR JUST BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS IN OKLAHOMA AS INHIBITION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. WITH HIGH CAPES AND 500 MB FLOW AROUND 20 KNOTS...STRONG UPDRAFTS SHOULD QUICKLY DEVELOP AFTER INITIATION. STORMS WILL INITIALLY HAVE A WIND THREAT BUT THEN MAY BE UNDERCUT BY THE FRONT AS IT QUICKLY MOVES SOUTH. STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH THIS EVENING THE STORM MODE WILL MOST LIKELY BE MULTI-CELLULAR. TIMING OF THE FRONT/STORMS BRINGS IT TO THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES SHORTLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT...INTO THE METROPLEX AROUND 3AM AND THEN THROUGH THE SOUTHERN ZONES AFTER DAYBREAK. GIVEN OUR CURRENT ENVIRONMENT...AREAS NORTHWEST OF THE CURRENT CLEARING LINE WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS/SEVERE WEATHER OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. EXPECTING ANY ACTIVITY TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE METROPLEX AND FURTHER SOUTH AS IT RUNS INTO A MORE STABLE AIRMASS. THERE MAY BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES POST FRONTAL TOMORROW MORNING. THE THETA-E BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL LAG BEHIND THE WIND SHIFT AT 925 AND 850 MB AFTER PUSHING SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. THE NAM PICKS UP ON THIS AND SHOWS WIDESPREAD QPF THROUGH 21Z IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES. WILL GO WITH A 40/30 POP TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. COOL/DRY AIR WILL FILTER IN SLOWLY BEHIND THE INITIAL WIND SHIFT. SOME AREAS TODAY HAVE GOTTEN AN EARLY PREVIEW OF THE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THIS WEEKEND. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE 80S TO LOWER 90S AND WITH THE DRY AIR AND LIGHT WINDS IN PLACE LOWS SATURDAY WILL REACH THE 50S FOR MANY OUTLYING AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY MODERATE AND RETURN TO THE MIDDLE 90S BY MONDAY. THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY FROM THE SOUTH AS IT ROTATES AROUND AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SE CONUS. WILL LEAVE THE 20/30 POPS IN THE FORECAST FOR MONDAY- WEDNESDAY. 85/NH && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 69 89 63 90 65 / 60 10 5 5 0 WACO, TX 72 88 62 89 61 / 50 30 5 5 0 PARIS, TX 69 86 58 85 58 / 60 10 5 5 5 DENTON, TX 69 88 58 90 59 / 70 10 5 5 0 MCKINNEY, TX 67 87 55 87 55 / 60 10 5 5 0 DALLAS, TX 71 87 64 90 66 / 60 10 5 5 0 TERRELL, TX 69 88 60 88 60 / 50 20 5 5 0 CORSICANA, TX 73 89 62 89 62 / 40 20 5 5 0 TEMPLE, TX 73 90 63 90 61 / 30 40 5 5 5 MINERAL WELLS, TX 67 88 56 89 60 / 70 10 5 5 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$

NWS-FWD Issues Short Term Forecast on Thu, 2 Sep 2010 06:09:00 CDT

Short Term Forecast - Thu, 2010-09-02 18:09
FPUS74 KFWD 022309 NOWFWD SHORT TERM FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 609 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-030115- ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA- DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON- HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS- LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO- PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT- WISE-YOUNG- 609 PM CDT THU SEP 2 2010 .NOW... A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF WACO BETWEEN MARLIN...ROCKDALE AND FRANKLIN THROUGH SUNSET. RAIN AMOUNTS UP TO ONE INCH AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL AS GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE METROPLEX...LIGHT SHOWERS WILL AFFECT LOCATIONS FROM PLANO TO PARIS...SULPHUR SPRINGS AND EMORY THROUGH SUNSET. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE UP TO 1/4 OF AN INCH. OTHER SPOTTY SHOWERS OF LIGHT RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED FROM SOUTHWEST OF CENTERVILLE TO TYLER...AND NEAR CANTON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP FROM COMANCHE NORTH TO BRECKENRIDGE BEFORE 900 PM. $$

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 642 Status Reports

WW 0642 Status Reports
STATUS REPORT ON WW 642 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..STOPPKOTTE..09/02/10 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 642 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC001-003-011-015-019-021-031-035-037-049-059-073-091-099-107- 111-121-125-133-139-205-207-022340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD ELK FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JOHNSON LABETTE LINN LYON MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO OSAGE WILSON WOODSON MOC013-037-095-022340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATES CASS JACKSON OKC009-011-015-017-027-031-033-035-037-039-043-047-051-053-055- 057-065-071-073-075-081-083-087-093-103-105-109-113-115-117-119- Read more
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