SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...Synopsis... Embedded within a belt of enhanced northwest flow aloft, a midlevel impulse and related jet streak will overspread the northern/central Rockies and adjacent High Plains during the afternoon. At the same time, an accompanying surface low will track southeastward along the northern/central High Plains. This will result in a tightening pressure gradient and 20-25 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts) across parts of the central High Plains. The combination of these winds and around 15-20 percent RH will favor elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions. Preceding snowfall in the vicinity (especially along the southern flank of the Elevated area) does cast some uncertainty on the overall fire risk, and fuel trends will be monitored for future adjustments to these highlights. ..Weinman.. 01/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...Synopsis... Embedded within a belt of enhanced northwest flow aloft, a midlevel impulse and related jet streak will overspread the northern/central Rockies and adjacent High Plains during the afternoon. At the same time, an accompanying surface low will track southeastward along the northern/central High Plains. This will result in a tightening pressure gradient and 20-25 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts) across parts of the central High Plains. The combination of these winds and around 15-20 percent RH will favor elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions. Preceding snowfall in the vicinity (especially along the southern flank of the Elevated area) does cast some uncertainty on the overall fire risk, and fuel trends will be monitored for future adjustments to these highlights. ..Weinman.. 01/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...Synopsis... Embedded within a belt of enhanced northwest flow aloft, a midlevel impulse and related jet streak will overspread the northern/central Rockies and adjacent High Plains during the afternoon. At the same time, an accompanying surface low will track southeastward along the northern/central High Plains. This will result in a tightening pressure gradient and 20-25 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts) across parts of the central High Plains. The combination of these winds and around 15-20 percent RH will favor elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions. Preceding snowfall in the vicinity (especially along the southern flank of the Elevated area) does cast some uncertainty on the overall fire risk, and fuel trends will be monitored for future adjustments to these highlights. ..Weinman.. 01/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ..Weinman.. 01/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ..Weinman.. 01/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ..Weinman.. 01/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are generally low across the CONUS today. The one exception will be across parts of central into southwest FL, where dry post-frontal conditions are expected during the afternoon. A brief overlap of around 10 mph sustained northerly surface winds and 20-30 percent RH may yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ..Weinman.. 01/19/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1204 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday or Tuesday night. ...Synopsis... The next in a series of upper shortwave troughs will migrate from the Rockies toward the Upper Midwest and Plains on Tuesday. Surface cyclogenesis will occur across the northern and central High Plains as a result. This area of low pressure will lift northeast overnight toward the Great Lakes. Southerly surface winds will develop in response to these features across the western Gulf Basin, allowing for meager airmass modification and northward transport of minor boundary layer moisture across portions of South TX and the coastal plain vicinity by early Wednesday. However, poor instability and weak forcing for ascent will preclude thunderstorm potential. Elsewhere, a cold, dry, and stable airmass will preclude thunderstorm activity. ..Leitman.. 01/19/2026 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1204 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday or Tuesday night. ...Synopsis... The next in a series of upper shortwave troughs will migrate from the Rockies toward the Upper Midwest and Plains on Tuesday. Surface cyclogenesis will occur across the northern and central High Plains as a result. This area of low pressure will lift northeast overnight toward the Great Lakes. Southerly surface winds will develop in response to these features across the western Gulf Basin, allowing for meager airmass modification and northward transport of minor boundary layer moisture across portions of South TX and the coastal plain vicinity by early Wednesday. However, poor instability and weak forcing for ascent will preclude thunderstorm potential. Elsewhere, a cold, dry, and stable airmass will preclude thunderstorm activity. ..Leitman.. 01/19/2026 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1204 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday or Tuesday night. ...Synopsis... The next in a series of upper shortwave troughs will migrate from the Rockies toward the Upper Midwest and Plains on Tuesday. Surface cyclogenesis will occur across the northern and central High Plains as a result. This area of low pressure will lift northeast overnight toward the Great Lakes. Southerly surface winds will develop in response to these features across the western Gulf Basin, allowing for meager airmass modification and northward transport of minor boundary layer moisture across portions of South TX and the coastal plain vicinity by early Wednesday. However, poor instability and weak forcing for ascent will preclude thunderstorm potential. Elsewhere, a cold, dry, and stable airmass will preclude thunderstorm activity. ..Leitman.. 01/19/2026 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1157 PM CST Sun Jan 18 2026 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected in the U.S. today or tonight. ...DISCUSSION... A large-scale cyclonic mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the U.S. today. At the surface, a large area of high pressure will remain over the Gulf Coast region, as another cold front advances southeastward into the Southeast. Behind this front, a large surface high will settle into the central states. This will reinforce a cold and dry airmass, making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development over the continental U.S. today and tonight. ..Broyles/Weinman.. 01/19/2026 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1157 PM CST Sun Jan 18 2026 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected in the U.S. today or tonight. ...DISCUSSION... A large-scale cyclonic mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the U.S. today. At the surface, a large area of high pressure will remain over the Gulf Coast region, as another cold front advances southeastward into the Southeast. Behind this front, a large surface high will settle into the central states. This will reinforce a cold and dry airmass, making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development over the continental U.S. today and tonight. ..Broyles/Weinman.. 01/19/2026 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1157 PM CST Sun Jan 18 2026 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected in the U.S. today or tonight. ...DISCUSSION... A large-scale cyclonic mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the U.S. today. At the surface, a large area of high pressure will remain over the Gulf Coast region, as another cold front advances southeastward into the Southeast. Behind this front, a large surface high will settle into the central states. This will reinforce a cold and dry airmass, making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development over the continental U.S. today and tonight. ..Broyles/Weinman.. 01/19/2026 Read more