Storm Prediction Center
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301630Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301630Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0556 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301300Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Discussion... A large-scale trough will consolidate/amplify over the eastern half of the CONUS through the period. In response, a surface cyclone will evolve northeastward along the Gulf Stream -- remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms accompanying the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. ..Weinman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0556 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301300Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Discussion... A large-scale trough will consolidate/amplify over the eastern half of the CONUS through the period. In response, a surface cyclone will evolve northeastward along the Gulf Stream -- remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms accompanying the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. ..Weinman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0556 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301300Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Discussion... A large-scale trough will consolidate/amplify over the eastern half of the CONUS through the period. In response, a surface cyclone will evolve northeastward along the Gulf Stream -- remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms accompanying the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. ..Weinman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0556 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301300Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Discussion... A large-scale trough will consolidate/amplify over the eastern half of the CONUS through the period. In response, a surface cyclone will evolve northeastward along the Gulf Stream -- remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms accompanying the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. ..Weinman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0556 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301300Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Discussion... A large-scale trough will consolidate/amplify over the eastern half of the CONUS through the period. In response, a surface cyclone will evolve northeastward along the Gulf Stream -- remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms accompanying the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. ..Weinman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0556 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301300Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Discussion... A large-scale trough will consolidate/amplify over the eastern half of the CONUS through the period. In response, a surface cyclone will evolve northeastward along the Gulf Stream -- remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms accompanying the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. ..Weinman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0556 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301300Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Discussion... A large-scale trough will consolidate/amplify over the eastern half of the CONUS through the period. In response, a surface cyclone will evolve northeastward along the Gulf Stream -- remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms accompanying the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. ..Weinman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0556 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301300Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Discussion... A large-scale trough will consolidate/amplify over the eastern half of the CONUS through the period. In response, a surface cyclone will evolve northeastward along the Gulf Stream -- remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms accompanying the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. ..Weinman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S. Read more
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S. Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S. Read more
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S. Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S. Read more
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S. Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S. Read more
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S. Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move from near the southern Atlantic Seaboard into the western Atlantic on Sunday, as northwesterly mid-level flow remains across much of the nation. At the surface, dry and cool conditions will remain over much of the U.S., being unfavorable for thunderstorm development. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move from near the southern Atlantic Seaboard into the western Atlantic on Sunday, as northwesterly mid-level flow remains across much of the nation. At the surface, dry and cool conditions will remain over much of the U.S., being unfavorable for thunderstorm development. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move from near the southern Atlantic Seaboard into the western Atlantic on Sunday, as northwesterly mid-level flow remains across much of the nation. At the surface, dry and cool conditions will remain over much of the U.S., being unfavorable for thunderstorm development. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move from near the southern Atlantic Seaboard into the western Atlantic on Sunday, as northwesterly mid-level flow remains across much of the nation. At the surface, dry and cool conditions will remain over much of the U.S., being unfavorable for thunderstorm development. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move from near the southern Atlantic Seaboard into the western Atlantic on Sunday, as northwesterly mid-level flow remains across much of the nation. At the surface, dry and cool conditions will remain over much of the U.S., being unfavorable for thunderstorm development. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move from near the southern Atlantic Seaboard into the western Atlantic on Sunday, as northwesterly mid-level flow remains across much of the nation. At the surface, dry and cool conditions will remain over much of the U.S., being unfavorable for thunderstorm development. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move from near the southern Atlantic Seaboard into the western Atlantic on Sunday, as northwesterly mid-level flow remains across much of the nation. At the surface, dry and cool conditions will remain over much of the U.S., being unfavorable for thunderstorm development. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move from near the southern Atlantic Seaboard into the western Atlantic on Sunday, as northwesterly mid-level flow remains across much of the nation. At the surface, dry and cool conditions will remain over much of the U.S., being unfavorable for thunderstorm development. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Saturday and Saturday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move through the Southeast on Saturday, as high pressure settles into the western Gulf Coast states and Mississippi Valley. Low-level northerly flow will keep a dry and cool airmass in place over the central and eastern U.S., making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development Saturday and Saturday night. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Saturday and Saturday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move through the Southeast on Saturday, as high pressure settles into the western Gulf Coast states and Mississippi Valley. Low-level northerly flow will keep a dry and cool airmass in place over the central and eastern U.S., making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development Saturday and Saturday night. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Saturday and Saturday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move through the Southeast on Saturday, as high pressure settles into the western Gulf Coast states and Mississippi Valley. Low-level northerly flow will keep a dry and cool airmass in place over the central and eastern U.S., making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development Saturday and Saturday night. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Saturday and Saturday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move through the Southeast on Saturday, as high pressure settles into the western Gulf Coast states and Mississippi Valley. Low-level northerly flow will keep a dry and cool airmass in place over the central and eastern U.S., making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development Saturday and Saturday night. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Saturday and Saturday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move through the Southeast on Saturday, as high pressure settles into the western Gulf Coast states and Mississippi Valley. Low-level northerly flow will keep a dry and cool airmass in place over the central and eastern U.S., making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development Saturday and Saturday night. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Saturday and Saturday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move through the Southeast on Saturday, as high pressure settles into the western Gulf Coast states and Mississippi Valley. Low-level northerly flow will keep a dry and cool airmass in place over the central and eastern U.S., making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development Saturday and Saturday night. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Saturday and Saturday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move through the Southeast on Saturday, as high pressure settles into the western Gulf Coast states and Mississippi Valley. Low-level northerly flow will keep a dry and cool airmass in place over the central and eastern U.S., making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development Saturday and Saturday night. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Saturday and Saturday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will move through the Southeast on Saturday, as high pressure settles into the western Gulf Coast states and Mississippi Valley. Low-level northerly flow will keep a dry and cool airmass in place over the central and eastern U.S., making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorm development Saturday and Saturday night. ..Broyles.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A longwave trough will remain steadfast east of the Rockies, with upper ridging prevalent over much of the West aside from a few ridge-riding shortwave troughs over the Pacific Northwest and Canadian Rockies. Surface cyclogenesis is expected late tonight off the coastal south Atlantic, with the expectation that convection will also increase offshore in vicinity of the Gulf Stream overnight through early Saturday morning. However, it appears that lightning flash potential will remain limited (less than 10 percent) for the near-coastal areas of the Carolinas. ..Guyer/Wendt.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A longwave trough will remain steadfast east of the Rockies, with upper ridging prevalent over much of the West aside from a few ridge-riding shortwave troughs over the Pacific Northwest and Canadian Rockies. Surface cyclogenesis is expected late tonight off the coastal south Atlantic, with the expectation that convection will also increase offshore in vicinity of the Gulf Stream overnight through early Saturday morning. However, it appears that lightning flash potential will remain limited (less than 10 percent) for the near-coastal areas of the Carolinas. ..Guyer/Wendt.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A longwave trough will remain steadfast east of the Rockies, with upper ridging prevalent over much of the West aside from a few ridge-riding shortwave troughs over the Pacific Northwest and Canadian Rockies. Surface cyclogenesis is expected late tonight off the coastal south Atlantic, with the expectation that convection will also increase offshore in vicinity of the Gulf Stream overnight through early Saturday morning. However, it appears that lightning flash potential will remain limited (less than 10 percent) for the near-coastal areas of the Carolinas. ..Guyer/Wendt.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A longwave trough will remain steadfast east of the Rockies, with upper ridging prevalent over much of the West aside from a few ridge-riding shortwave troughs over the Pacific Northwest and Canadian Rockies. Surface cyclogenesis is expected late tonight off the coastal south Atlantic, with the expectation that convection will also increase offshore in vicinity of the Gulf Stream overnight through early Saturday morning. However, it appears that lightning flash potential will remain limited (less than 10 percent) for the near-coastal areas of the Carolinas. ..Guyer/Wendt.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A longwave trough will remain steadfast east of the Rockies, with upper ridging prevalent over much of the West aside from a few ridge-riding shortwave troughs over the Pacific Northwest and Canadian Rockies. Surface cyclogenesis is expected late tonight off the coastal south Atlantic, with the expectation that convection will also increase offshore in vicinity of the Gulf Stream overnight through early Saturday morning. However, it appears that lightning flash potential will remain limited (less than 10 percent) for the near-coastal areas of the Carolinas. ..Guyer/Wendt.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A longwave trough will remain steadfast east of the Rockies, with upper ridging prevalent over much of the West aside from a few ridge-riding shortwave troughs over the Pacific Northwest and Canadian Rockies. Surface cyclogenesis is expected late tonight off the coastal south Atlantic, with the expectation that convection will also increase offshore in vicinity of the Gulf Stream overnight through early Saturday morning. However, it appears that lightning flash potential will remain limited (less than 10 percent) for the near-coastal areas of the Carolinas. ..Guyer/Wendt.. 01/30/2026 Read more