Storm Prediction Center
SPC Jan 30, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 302000Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 302000Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. Read more
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Southern Georgia and North Florida... A strong cold front behind a rapidly deepening low just off the Carolina Coast will move through the FL Peninsula Saturday. Although breezy northwest winds of 15-20 mph are expected, a lack of widespread RH reductions below 35%, considerably colder temperatures as well as effects from recent precipitation along the FL/GA border will limit a more widespread fire weather threat across the area. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1136 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper trough will continue to pivot through the Southeast on Saturday. A low pressure system will deepen off the East Coast. While fuels will continue to dry in the West where upper level ridging will be present, surface high pressure/cold air should greatly limit fire weather concerns for most areas with drier fuels. ...Southern Georgia into North Florida... With a low pressure system deepening off the Mid-Atlantic coast, stronger surface winds will develop behind the cold front within the Southeast and the Florida Peninsula. Winds of 10-20 mph appear possible. With cold advection occurring, it is not clear how warm temperatures will rise or how low RH will fall. There does appear to be a zone from southern Georgia into North Florida where 25-35% RH is possible by the afternoon. However, temperatures will still likely be near 40 F and there is a slight chance for precipitation as the front moves through late Friday night. Uncertainty is too high for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Southern Georgia and North Florida... A strong cold front behind a rapidly deepening low just off the Carolina Coast will move through the FL Peninsula Saturday. Although breezy northwest winds of 15-20 mph are expected, a lack of widespread RH reductions below 35%, considerably colder temperatures as well as effects from recent precipitation along the FL/GA border will limit a more widespread fire weather threat across the area. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1136 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper trough will continue to pivot through the Southeast on Saturday. A low pressure system will deepen off the East Coast. While fuels will continue to dry in the West where upper level ridging will be present, surface high pressure/cold air should greatly limit fire weather concerns for most areas with drier fuels. ...Southern Georgia into North Florida... With a low pressure system deepening off the Mid-Atlantic coast, stronger surface winds will develop behind the cold front within the Southeast and the Florida Peninsula. Winds of 10-20 mph appear possible. With cold advection occurring, it is not clear how warm temperatures will rise or how low RH will fall. There does appear to be a zone from southern Georgia into North Florida where 25-35% RH is possible by the afternoon. However, temperatures will still likely be near 40 F and there is a slight chance for precipitation as the front moves through late Friday night. Uncertainty is too high for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Southern Georgia and North Florida... A strong cold front behind a rapidly deepening low just off the Carolina Coast will move through the FL Peninsula Saturday. Although breezy northwest winds of 15-20 mph are expected, a lack of widespread RH reductions below 35%, considerably colder temperatures as well as effects from recent precipitation along the FL/GA border will limit a more widespread fire weather threat across the area. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1136 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper trough will continue to pivot through the Southeast on Saturday. A low pressure system will deepen off the East Coast. While fuels will continue to dry in the West where upper level ridging will be present, surface high pressure/cold air should greatly limit fire weather concerns for most areas with drier fuels. ...Southern Georgia into North Florida... With a low pressure system deepening off the Mid-Atlantic coast, stronger surface winds will develop behind the cold front within the Southeast and the Florida Peninsula. Winds of 10-20 mph appear possible. With cold advection occurring, it is not clear how warm temperatures will rise or how low RH will fall. There does appear to be a zone from southern Georgia into North Florida where 25-35% RH is possible by the afternoon. However, temperatures will still likely be near 40 F and there is a slight chance for precipitation as the front moves through late Friday night. Uncertainty is too high for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Southern Georgia and North Florida... A strong cold front behind a rapidly deepening low just off the Carolina Coast will move through the FL Peninsula Saturday. Although breezy northwest winds of 15-20 mph are expected, a lack of widespread RH reductions below 35%, considerably colder temperatures as well as effects from recent precipitation along the FL/GA border will limit a more widespread fire weather threat across the area. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1136 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper trough will continue to pivot through the Southeast on Saturday. A low pressure system will deepen off the East Coast. While fuels will continue to dry in the West where upper level ridging will be present, surface high pressure/cold air should greatly limit fire weather concerns for most areas with drier fuels. ...Southern Georgia into North Florida... With a low pressure system deepening off the Mid-Atlantic coast, stronger surface winds will develop behind the cold front within the Southeast and the Florida Peninsula. Winds of 10-20 mph appear possible. With cold advection occurring, it is not clear how warm temperatures will rise or how low RH will fall. There does appear to be a zone from southern Georgia into North Florida where 25-35% RH is possible by the afternoon. However, temperatures will still likely be near 40 F and there is a slight chance for precipitation as the front moves through late Friday night. Uncertainty is too high for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Southern Georgia and North Florida... A strong cold front behind a rapidly deepening low just off the Carolina Coast will move through the FL Peninsula Saturday. Although breezy northwest winds of 15-20 mph are expected, a lack of widespread RH reductions below 35%, considerably colder temperatures as well as effects from recent precipitation along the FL/GA border will limit a more widespread fire weather threat across the area. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1136 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper trough will continue to pivot through the Southeast on Saturday. A low pressure system will deepen off the East Coast. While fuels will continue to dry in the West where upper level ridging will be present, surface high pressure/cold air should greatly limit fire weather concerns for most areas with drier fuels. ...Southern Georgia into North Florida... With a low pressure system deepening off the Mid-Atlantic coast, stronger surface winds will develop behind the cold front within the Southeast and the Florida Peninsula. Winds of 10-20 mph appear possible. With cold advection occurring, it is not clear how warm temperatures will rise or how low RH will fall. There does appear to be a zone from southern Georgia into North Florida where 25-35% RH is possible by the afternoon. However, temperatures will still likely be near 40 F and there is a slight chance for precipitation as the front moves through late Friday night. Uncertainty is too high for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Southern Georgia and North Florida... A strong cold front behind a rapidly deepening low just off the Carolina Coast will move through the FL Peninsula Saturday. Although breezy northwest winds of 15-20 mph are expected, a lack of widespread RH reductions below 35%, considerably colder temperatures as well as effects from recent precipitation along the FL/GA border will limit a more widespread fire weather threat across the area. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1136 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper trough will continue to pivot through the Southeast on Saturday. A low pressure system will deepen off the East Coast. While fuels will continue to dry in the West where upper level ridging will be present, surface high pressure/cold air should greatly limit fire weather concerns for most areas with drier fuels. ...Southern Georgia into North Florida... With a low pressure system deepening off the Mid-Atlantic coast, stronger surface winds will develop behind the cold front within the Southeast and the Florida Peninsula. Winds of 10-20 mph appear possible. With cold advection occurring, it is not clear how warm temperatures will rise or how low RH will fall. There does appear to be a zone from southern Georgia into North Florida where 25-35% RH is possible by the afternoon. However, temperatures will still likely be near 40 F and there is a slight chance for precipitation as the front moves through late Friday night. Uncertainty is too high for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Southern Georgia and North Florida... A strong cold front behind a rapidly deepening low just off the Carolina Coast will move through the FL Peninsula Saturday. Although breezy northwest winds of 15-20 mph are expected, a lack of widespread RH reductions below 35%, considerably colder temperatures as well as effects from recent precipitation along the FL/GA border will limit a more widespread fire weather threat across the area. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1136 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper trough will continue to pivot through the Southeast on Saturday. A low pressure system will deepen off the East Coast. While fuels will continue to dry in the West where upper level ridging will be present, surface high pressure/cold air should greatly limit fire weather concerns for most areas with drier fuels. ...Southern Georgia into North Florida... With a low pressure system deepening off the Mid-Atlantic coast, stronger surface winds will develop behind the cold front within the Southeast and the Florida Peninsula. Winds of 10-20 mph appear possible. With cold advection occurring, it is not clear how warm temperatures will rise or how low RH will fall. There does appear to be a zone from southern Georgia into North Florida where 25-35% RH is possible by the afternoon. However, temperatures will still likely be near 40 F and there is a slight chance for precipitation as the front moves through late Friday night. Uncertainty is too high for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Southern Georgia and North Florida... A strong cold front behind a rapidly deepening low just off the Carolina Coast will move through the FL Peninsula Saturday. Although breezy northwest winds of 15-20 mph are expected, a lack of widespread RH reductions below 35%, considerably colder temperatures as well as effects from recent precipitation along the FL/GA border will limit a more widespread fire weather threat across the area. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1136 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper trough will continue to pivot through the Southeast on Saturday. A low pressure system will deepen off the East Coast. While fuels will continue to dry in the West where upper level ridging will be present, surface high pressure/cold air should greatly limit fire weather concerns for most areas with drier fuels. ...Southern Georgia into North Florida... With a low pressure system deepening off the Mid-Atlantic coast, stronger surface winds will develop behind the cold front within the Southeast and the Florida Peninsula. Winds of 10-20 mph appear possible. With cold advection occurring, it is not clear how warm temperatures will rise or how low RH will fall. There does appear to be a zone from southern Georgia into North Florida where 25-35% RH is possible by the afternoon. However, temperatures will still likely be near 40 F and there is a slight chance for precipitation as the front moves through late Friday night. Uncertainty is too high for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will continue to migrate across the eastern U.S. on Sunday. Meanwhile, an intense coastal low off the NC coast will lift northeast across the northwest Atlantic, offshore from the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts. Further west, an upper ridge over the western states will deamplify as it spreads into the Plains. General surface high pressure will remain in place across portions of the Rockies, the Mid/Lower MS Valley and the Southeast. This will keep Gulf moisture offshore as another cold front passage delves well south into the Gulf Basin. As a result, a mostly dry and stable airmass will prevail across the CONUS, precluding thunderstorm activity. ..Leitman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will continue to migrate across the eastern U.S. on Sunday. Meanwhile, an intense coastal low off the NC coast will lift northeast across the northwest Atlantic, offshore from the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts. Further west, an upper ridge over the western states will deamplify as it spreads into the Plains. General surface high pressure will remain in place across portions of the Rockies, the Mid/Lower MS Valley and the Southeast. This will keep Gulf moisture offshore as another cold front passage delves well south into the Gulf Basin. As a result, a mostly dry and stable airmass will prevail across the CONUS, precluding thunderstorm activity. ..Leitman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will continue to migrate across the eastern U.S. on Sunday. Meanwhile, an intense coastal low off the NC coast will lift northeast across the northwest Atlantic, offshore from the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts. Further west, an upper ridge over the western states will deamplify as it spreads into the Plains. General surface high pressure will remain in place across portions of the Rockies, the Mid/Lower MS Valley and the Southeast. This will keep Gulf moisture offshore as another cold front passage delves well south into the Gulf Basin. As a result, a mostly dry and stable airmass will prevail across the CONUS, precluding thunderstorm activity. ..Leitman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will continue to migrate across the eastern U.S. on Sunday. Meanwhile, an intense coastal low off the NC coast will lift northeast across the northwest Atlantic, offshore from the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts. Further west, an upper ridge over the western states will deamplify as it spreads into the Plains. General surface high pressure will remain in place across portions of the Rockies, the Mid/Lower MS Valley and the Southeast. This will keep Gulf moisture offshore as another cold front passage delves well south into the Gulf Basin. As a result, a mostly dry and stable airmass will prevail across the CONUS, precluding thunderstorm activity. ..Leitman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will continue to migrate across the eastern U.S. on Sunday. Meanwhile, an intense coastal low off the NC coast will lift northeast across the northwest Atlantic, offshore from the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts. Further west, an upper ridge over the western states will deamplify as it spreads into the Plains. General surface high pressure will remain in place across portions of the Rockies, the Mid/Lower MS Valley and the Southeast. This will keep Gulf moisture offshore as another cold front passage delves well south into the Gulf Basin. As a result, a mostly dry and stable airmass will prevail across the CONUS, precluding thunderstorm activity. ..Leitman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will continue to migrate across the eastern U.S. on Sunday. Meanwhile, an intense coastal low off the NC coast will lift northeast across the northwest Atlantic, offshore from the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts. Further west, an upper ridge over the western states will deamplify as it spreads into the Plains. General surface high pressure will remain in place across portions of the Rockies, the Mid/Lower MS Valley and the Southeast. This will keep Gulf moisture offshore as another cold front passage delves well south into the Gulf Basin. As a result, a mostly dry and stable airmass will prevail across the CONUS, precluding thunderstorm activity. ..Leitman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will continue to migrate across the eastern U.S. on Sunday. Meanwhile, an intense coastal low off the NC coast will lift northeast across the northwest Atlantic, offshore from the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts. Further west, an upper ridge over the western states will deamplify as it spreads into the Plains. General surface high pressure will remain in place across portions of the Rockies, the Mid/Lower MS Valley and the Southeast. This will keep Gulf moisture offshore as another cold front passage delves well south into the Gulf Basin. As a result, a mostly dry and stable airmass will prevail across the CONUS, precluding thunderstorm activity. ..Leitman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will continue to migrate across the eastern U.S. on Sunday. Meanwhile, an intense coastal low off the NC coast will lift northeast across the northwest Atlantic, offshore from the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts. Further west, an upper ridge over the western states will deamplify as it spreads into the Plains. General surface high pressure will remain in place across portions of the Rockies, the Mid/Lower MS Valley and the Southeast. This will keep Gulf moisture offshore as another cold front passage delves well south into the Gulf Basin. As a result, a mostly dry and stable airmass will prevail across the CONUS, precluding thunderstorm activity. ..Leitman.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1058 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tomorrow (Saturday). ...Synopsis... A pronounced upper trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second upper trough impinges on the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Saturday). The amplification of the East Coast trough will reinforce surface high pressure and an associated polar airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential. Strong surface cyclogenesis is anticipated off of the Carolina Coastline, which may promote the development of thunderstorms. However, these storms should remain far enough east of the coastal waters to warrant the withholding of thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1058 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tomorrow (Saturday). ...Synopsis... A pronounced upper trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second upper trough impinges on the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Saturday). The amplification of the East Coast trough will reinforce surface high pressure and an associated polar airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential. Strong surface cyclogenesis is anticipated off of the Carolina Coastline, which may promote the development of thunderstorms. However, these storms should remain far enough east of the coastal waters to warrant the withholding of thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1058 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tomorrow (Saturday). ...Synopsis... A pronounced upper trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second upper trough impinges on the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Saturday). The amplification of the East Coast trough will reinforce surface high pressure and an associated polar airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential. Strong surface cyclogenesis is anticipated off of the Carolina Coastline, which may promote the development of thunderstorms. However, these storms should remain far enough east of the coastal waters to warrant the withholding of thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1058 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tomorrow (Saturday). ...Synopsis... A pronounced upper trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second upper trough impinges on the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Saturday). The amplification of the East Coast trough will reinforce surface high pressure and an associated polar airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential. Strong surface cyclogenesis is anticipated off of the Carolina Coastline, which may promote the development of thunderstorms. However, these storms should remain far enough east of the coastal waters to warrant the withholding of thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1058 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tomorrow (Saturday). ...Synopsis... A pronounced upper trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second upper trough impinges on the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Saturday). The amplification of the East Coast trough will reinforce surface high pressure and an associated polar airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential. Strong surface cyclogenesis is anticipated off of the Carolina Coastline, which may promote the development of thunderstorms. However, these storms should remain far enough east of the coastal waters to warrant the withholding of thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1058 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tomorrow (Saturday). ...Synopsis... A pronounced upper trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second upper trough impinges on the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Saturday). The amplification of the East Coast trough will reinforce surface high pressure and an associated polar airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential. Strong surface cyclogenesis is anticipated off of the Carolina Coastline, which may promote the development of thunderstorms. However, these storms should remain far enough east of the coastal waters to warrant the withholding of thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1058 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tomorrow (Saturday). ...Synopsis... A pronounced upper trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second upper trough impinges on the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Saturday). The amplification of the East Coast trough will reinforce surface high pressure and an associated polar airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential. Strong surface cyclogenesis is anticipated off of the Carolina Coastline, which may promote the development of thunderstorms. However, these storms should remain far enough east of the coastal waters to warrant the withholding of thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1058 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tomorrow (Saturday). ...Synopsis... A pronounced upper trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second upper trough impinges on the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Saturday). The amplification of the East Coast trough will reinforce surface high pressure and an associated polar airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential. Strong surface cyclogenesis is anticipated off of the Carolina Coastline, which may promote the development of thunderstorms. However, these storms should remain far enough east of the coastal waters to warrant the withholding of thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1043 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301700Z - 311200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns will remain minimal across CONUS today. No changes to the Day 1 Outlook were needed, please see previous forecast discussion. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1135 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal across the CONUS today. Surface high pressure and colder air will filter into areas east of the Divide. Upper-level ridging will be maintained in the West, but lack of stronger wind fields and receptive fuels will limit concerns there. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1043 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301700Z - 311200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns will remain minimal across CONUS today. No changes to the Day 1 Outlook were needed, please see previous forecast discussion. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1135 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal across the CONUS today. Surface high pressure and colder air will filter into areas east of the Divide. Upper-level ridging will be maintained in the West, but lack of stronger wind fields and receptive fuels will limit concerns there. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1043 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301700Z - 311200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns will remain minimal across CONUS today. No changes to the Day 1 Outlook were needed, please see previous forecast discussion. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1135 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal across the CONUS today. Surface high pressure and colder air will filter into areas east of the Divide. Upper-level ridging will be maintained in the West, but lack of stronger wind fields and receptive fuels will limit concerns there. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1043 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301700Z - 311200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns will remain minimal across CONUS today. No changes to the Day 1 Outlook were needed, please see previous forecast discussion. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1135 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal across the CONUS today. Surface high pressure and colder air will filter into areas east of the Divide. Upper-level ridging will be maintained in the West, but lack of stronger wind fields and receptive fuels will limit concerns there. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1043 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301700Z - 311200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns will remain minimal across CONUS today. No changes to the Day 1 Outlook were needed, please see previous forecast discussion. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1135 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal across the CONUS today. Surface high pressure and colder air will filter into areas east of the Divide. Upper-level ridging will be maintained in the West, but lack of stronger wind fields and receptive fuels will limit concerns there. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1043 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301700Z - 311200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns will remain minimal across CONUS today. No changes to the Day 1 Outlook were needed, please see previous forecast discussion. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1135 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal across the CONUS today. Surface high pressure and colder air will filter into areas east of the Divide. Upper-level ridging will be maintained in the West, but lack of stronger wind fields and receptive fuels will limit concerns there. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1043 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301700Z - 311200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns will remain minimal across CONUS today. No changes to the Day 1 Outlook were needed, please see previous forecast discussion. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1135 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal across the CONUS today. Surface high pressure and colder air will filter into areas east of the Divide. Upper-level ridging will be maintained in the West, but lack of stronger wind fields and receptive fuels will limit concerns there. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1043 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301700Z - 311200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns will remain minimal across CONUS today. No changes to the Day 1 Outlook were needed, please see previous forecast discussion. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1135 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal across the CONUS today. Surface high pressure and colder air will filter into areas east of the Divide. Upper-level ridging will be maintained in the West, but lack of stronger wind fields and receptive fuels will limit concerns there. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301630Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301630Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301630Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301630Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 01/30/2026 Read more
SPC Jan 30, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301630Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 01/30/2026 Read more
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 301630Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. ..Gleason/Kerr.. 01/30/2026 Read more