SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0942 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241630Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...LA/MS/AL Overnight... The primary surface cold front has pushed off the mid/upper TX Gulf coast, where scattered thunderstorms are ongoing. As the primary upper trough approaches later tonight, increasing southerly low-level winds ahead of the front will transport Gulf moisture northward into parts of southeast LA and southern MS/AL. This will result in some destabilization and increase in low-level/deep-layer vertical shear. Despite a slowly improving environment for strong convection, the main upper forcing is expected to lag to the west of this region until after 12z. Therefore, will maintain less-than-marginal severe probabilities for the overnight period. ..Hart/Bentley.. 01/24/2026 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0942 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241630Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...LA/MS/AL Overnight... The primary surface cold front has pushed off the mid/upper TX Gulf coast, where scattered thunderstorms are ongoing. As the primary upper trough approaches later tonight, increasing southerly low-level winds ahead of the front will transport Gulf moisture northward into parts of southeast LA and southern MS/AL. This will result in some destabilization and increase in low-level/deep-layer vertical shear. Despite a slowly improving environment for strong convection, the main upper forcing is expected to lag to the west of this region until after 12z. Therefore, will maintain less-than-marginal severe probabilities for the overnight period. ..Hart/Bentley.. 01/24/2026 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0942 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241630Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...LA/MS/AL Overnight... The primary surface cold front has pushed off the mid/upper TX Gulf coast, where scattered thunderstorms are ongoing. As the primary upper trough approaches later tonight, increasing southerly low-level winds ahead of the front will transport Gulf moisture northward into parts of southeast LA and southern MS/AL. This will result in some destabilization and increase in low-level/deep-layer vertical shear. Despite a slowly improving environment for strong convection, the main upper forcing is expected to lag to the west of this region until after 12z. Therefore, will maintain less-than-marginal severe probabilities for the overnight period. ..Hart/Bentley.. 01/24/2026 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0942 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241630Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...LA/MS/AL Overnight... The primary surface cold front has pushed off the mid/upper TX Gulf coast, where scattered thunderstorms are ongoing. As the primary upper trough approaches later tonight, increasing southerly low-level winds ahead of the front will transport Gulf moisture northward into parts of southeast LA and southern MS/AL. This will result in some destabilization and increase in low-level/deep-layer vertical shear. Despite a slowly improving environment for strong convection, the main upper forcing is expected to lag to the west of this region until after 12z. Therefore, will maintain less-than-marginal severe probabilities for the overnight period. ..Hart/Bentley.. 01/24/2026 Read more

MD 0042 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR NORTHWEST TX...SOUTHWEST OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0042 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Areas affected...Northwest TX...Southwest OK Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 241347Z - 241645Z SUMMARY...Increasing coverage of winter mixed precipitation (mostly sleet) is possible from northwest Texas into southwest Oklahoma over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...Deepening ascent is evident on satellite imagery from far west TX into northwest TX, downstream of a subtle shortwave trough moving through the southwesterly flow aloft well ahead of the upper low off the central Baja California coast. This deepening ascent has resulting in an expanding area of light to moderate precipitation now moving into northwest TX. Surface temperatures in this region are well-below freezing (i.e. lower teens to single digits), but forecast sounding still show a substantial warm nose. This profile appears to favor sleet, although some snow could be mixed in a well. As a result, mixed winter precipitation is anticipated from northwest TX into southwest TX over the next few hours. Precipitation rates will generally be light, but modestly steep lapse rates above the warm nose suggest some embedded moderate rates are possible. ..Mosier.. 01/24/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 32889896 32979985 33350059 33870119 34630112 35010059 35140013 35189924 34979859 34799814 34459781 34089767 33379798 33019856 32889896 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0910 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241700Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today due to widespread cold and wet conditions across much of the CONUS. Please see the previous discussion below for additional information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 01/24/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1143 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire concerns will remain low today across the CONUS. A broad mid-level trough across the central US will continue to bring several rounds of precipitation from the Plains into portions of the Eastern US today. In addition, a cold arctic air mass will be in place across much of the CONUS. These widespread cold and wet conditions will reduce fire weather concerns and improve status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0910 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241700Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today due to widespread cold and wet conditions across much of the CONUS. Please see the previous discussion below for additional information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 01/24/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1143 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire concerns will remain low today across the CONUS. A broad mid-level trough across the central US will continue to bring several rounds of precipitation from the Plains into portions of the Eastern US today. In addition, a cold arctic air mass will be in place across much of the CONUS. These widespread cold and wet conditions will reduce fire weather concerns and improve status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0910 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241700Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today due to widespread cold and wet conditions across much of the CONUS. Please see the previous discussion below for additional information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 01/24/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1143 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire concerns will remain low today across the CONUS. A broad mid-level trough across the central US will continue to bring several rounds of precipitation from the Plains into portions of the Eastern US today. In addition, a cold arctic air mass will be in place across much of the CONUS. These widespread cold and wet conditions will reduce fire weather concerns and improve status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0910 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241700Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today due to widespread cold and wet conditions across much of the CONUS. Please see the previous discussion below for additional information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 01/24/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1143 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire concerns will remain low today across the CONUS. A broad mid-level trough across the central US will continue to bring several rounds of precipitation from the Plains into portions of the Eastern US today. In addition, a cold arctic air mass will be in place across much of the CONUS. These widespread cold and wet conditions will reduce fire weather concerns and improve status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0910 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241700Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today due to widespread cold and wet conditions across much of the CONUS. Please see the previous discussion below for additional information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 01/24/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1143 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire concerns will remain low today across the CONUS. A broad mid-level trough across the central US will continue to bring several rounds of precipitation from the Plains into portions of the Eastern US today. In addition, a cold arctic air mass will be in place across much of the CONUS. These widespread cold and wet conditions will reduce fire weather concerns and improve status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0643 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Southern Plains/Lower MS Valley/Southeast... Early-morning satellite imagery shows a well-defined upper low just off the coast of the central Baja Peninsula. Deep southwesterly flow aloft extends northeastward from this low across Mexico and the southern Plains before joining the more confluent, single-stream southwesterlies in place from the MS Valley eastward. A subtle shortwave trough is currently progressing northeastward across central TX within the belt of stronger flow preceding the upper low, contributing to some deeper convective cores over the region. Expectation is for this shortwave to continue northeastward, resulting in an expansion of precipitation downstream. Forecast soundings do show some minimal buoyancy, supporting the potential for some deeper convective cores capable of lightning. Highest thunderstorm chances will be concentrated across southern LA, but low probabilities also exist farther north where low-level profiles will be cold enough for freezing rain and/or sleet. The Baja upper low is forecast to progress eastward throughout the day, moving across central Mexico and reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Evolution of this low will encourage northeastward progression of a surface low along the surging arctic cold front. This will take the low from its current location over deep south TX quickly northeastward over the northwest Gulf basin, across southern LA and to the central AL/MS border vicinity. Strong low-level southerly flow is anticipated ahead of the upper low and associated surface low as well, with this overall evolution contributing to rapid airmass modification from the central Gulf Coast into central AL and MS. Even with this modification, most forecast soundings depict a boundary layer that does not recover adequately for surface-based convection. General expectation is for ascent attendant to this system to support another round of precipitation beginning over east TX after 06Z before expanding northeastward with time. Some very modest buoyancy is possible atop a strong warm noise, with isolated elevated thunderstorms possible. This thunder potential includes areas from east TX across northern/central LA into northern MS where surface temperatures will be below freezing, suggesting some lightning is possible with mixed winter precipitation. ...Southwest... A shortwave trough is forecast to progress cyclonically from central CA into AZ during the period. Cold mid-level temperatures combined with ascent from the shortwave will support the potential for a few isolated thunderstorms across central and southeast AZ and southwest NM from the late afternoon through tonight. ..Mosier/Broyles.. 01/24/2026 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0643 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Southern Plains/Lower MS Valley/Southeast... Early-morning satellite imagery shows a well-defined upper low just off the coast of the central Baja Peninsula. Deep southwesterly flow aloft extends northeastward from this low across Mexico and the southern Plains before joining the more confluent, single-stream southwesterlies in place from the MS Valley eastward. A subtle shortwave trough is currently progressing northeastward across central TX within the belt of stronger flow preceding the upper low, contributing to some deeper convective cores over the region. Expectation is for this shortwave to continue northeastward, resulting in an expansion of precipitation downstream. Forecast soundings do show some minimal buoyancy, supporting the potential for some deeper convective cores capable of lightning. Highest thunderstorm chances will be concentrated across southern LA, but low probabilities also exist farther north where low-level profiles will be cold enough for freezing rain and/or sleet. The Baja upper low is forecast to progress eastward throughout the day, moving across central Mexico and reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Evolution of this low will encourage northeastward progression of a surface low along the surging arctic cold front. This will take the low from its current location over deep south TX quickly northeastward over the northwest Gulf basin, across southern LA and to the central AL/MS border vicinity. Strong low-level southerly flow is anticipated ahead of the upper low and associated surface low as well, with this overall evolution contributing to rapid airmass modification from the central Gulf Coast into central AL and MS. Even with this modification, most forecast soundings depict a boundary layer that does not recover adequately for surface-based convection. General expectation is for ascent attendant to this system to support another round of precipitation beginning over east TX after 06Z before expanding northeastward with time. Some very modest buoyancy is possible atop a strong warm noise, with isolated elevated thunderstorms possible. This thunder potential includes areas from east TX across northern/central LA into northern MS where surface temperatures will be below freezing, suggesting some lightning is possible with mixed winter precipitation. ...Southwest... A shortwave trough is forecast to progress cyclonically from central CA into AZ during the period. Cold mid-level temperatures combined with ascent from the shortwave will support the potential for a few isolated thunderstorms across central and southeast AZ and southwest NM from the late afternoon through tonight. ..Mosier/Broyles.. 01/24/2026 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0643 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Southern Plains/Lower MS Valley/Southeast... Early-morning satellite imagery shows a well-defined upper low just off the coast of the central Baja Peninsula. Deep southwesterly flow aloft extends northeastward from this low across Mexico and the southern Plains before joining the more confluent, single-stream southwesterlies in place from the MS Valley eastward. A subtle shortwave trough is currently progressing northeastward across central TX within the belt of stronger flow preceding the upper low, contributing to some deeper convective cores over the region. Expectation is for this shortwave to continue northeastward, resulting in an expansion of precipitation downstream. Forecast soundings do show some minimal buoyancy, supporting the potential for some deeper convective cores capable of lightning. Highest thunderstorm chances will be concentrated across southern LA, but low probabilities also exist farther north where low-level profiles will be cold enough for freezing rain and/or sleet. The Baja upper low is forecast to progress eastward throughout the day, moving across central Mexico and reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Evolution of this low will encourage northeastward progression of a surface low along the surging arctic cold front. This will take the low from its current location over deep south TX quickly northeastward over the northwest Gulf basin, across southern LA and to the central AL/MS border vicinity. Strong low-level southerly flow is anticipated ahead of the upper low and associated surface low as well, with this overall evolution contributing to rapid airmass modification from the central Gulf Coast into central AL and MS. Even with this modification, most forecast soundings depict a boundary layer that does not recover adequately for surface-based convection. General expectation is for ascent attendant to this system to support another round of precipitation beginning over east TX after 06Z before expanding northeastward with time. Some very modest buoyancy is possible atop a strong warm noise, with isolated elevated thunderstorms possible. This thunder potential includes areas from east TX across northern/central LA into northern MS where surface temperatures will be below freezing, suggesting some lightning is possible with mixed winter precipitation. ...Southwest... A shortwave trough is forecast to progress cyclonically from central CA into AZ during the period. Cold mid-level temperatures combined with ascent from the shortwave will support the potential for a few isolated thunderstorms across central and southeast AZ and southwest NM from the late afternoon through tonight. ..Mosier/Broyles.. 01/24/2026 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0643 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Southern Plains/Lower MS Valley/Southeast... Early-morning satellite imagery shows a well-defined upper low just off the coast of the central Baja Peninsula. Deep southwesterly flow aloft extends northeastward from this low across Mexico and the southern Plains before joining the more confluent, single-stream southwesterlies in place from the MS Valley eastward. A subtle shortwave trough is currently progressing northeastward across central TX within the belt of stronger flow preceding the upper low, contributing to some deeper convective cores over the region. Expectation is for this shortwave to continue northeastward, resulting in an expansion of precipitation downstream. Forecast soundings do show some minimal buoyancy, supporting the potential for some deeper convective cores capable of lightning. Highest thunderstorm chances will be concentrated across southern LA, but low probabilities also exist farther north where low-level profiles will be cold enough for freezing rain and/or sleet. The Baja upper low is forecast to progress eastward throughout the day, moving across central Mexico and reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Evolution of this low will encourage northeastward progression of a surface low along the surging arctic cold front. This will take the low from its current location over deep south TX quickly northeastward over the northwest Gulf basin, across southern LA and to the central AL/MS border vicinity. Strong low-level southerly flow is anticipated ahead of the upper low and associated surface low as well, with this overall evolution contributing to rapid airmass modification from the central Gulf Coast into central AL and MS. Even with this modification, most forecast soundings depict a boundary layer that does not recover adequately for surface-based convection. General expectation is for ascent attendant to this system to support another round of precipitation beginning over east TX after 06Z before expanding northeastward with time. Some very modest buoyancy is possible atop a strong warm noise, with isolated elevated thunderstorms possible. This thunder potential includes areas from east TX across northern/central LA into northern MS where surface temperatures will be below freezing, suggesting some lightning is possible with mixed winter precipitation. ...Southwest... A shortwave trough is forecast to progress cyclonically from central CA into AZ during the period. Cold mid-level temperatures combined with ascent from the shortwave will support the potential for a few isolated thunderstorms across central and southeast AZ and southwest NM from the late afternoon through tonight. ..Mosier/Broyles.. 01/24/2026 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0643 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Southern Plains/Lower MS Valley/Southeast... Early-morning satellite imagery shows a well-defined upper low just off the coast of the central Baja Peninsula. Deep southwesterly flow aloft extends northeastward from this low across Mexico and the southern Plains before joining the more confluent, single-stream southwesterlies in place from the MS Valley eastward. A subtle shortwave trough is currently progressing northeastward across central TX within the belt of stronger flow preceding the upper low, contributing to some deeper convective cores over the region. Expectation is for this shortwave to continue northeastward, resulting in an expansion of precipitation downstream. Forecast soundings do show some minimal buoyancy, supporting the potential for some deeper convective cores capable of lightning. Highest thunderstorm chances will be concentrated across southern LA, but low probabilities also exist farther north where low-level profiles will be cold enough for freezing rain and/or sleet. The Baja upper low is forecast to progress eastward throughout the day, moving across central Mexico and reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Evolution of this low will encourage northeastward progression of a surface low along the surging arctic cold front. This will take the low from its current location over deep south TX quickly northeastward over the northwest Gulf basin, across southern LA and to the central AL/MS border vicinity. Strong low-level southerly flow is anticipated ahead of the upper low and associated surface low as well, with this overall evolution contributing to rapid airmass modification from the central Gulf Coast into central AL and MS. Even with this modification, most forecast soundings depict a boundary layer that does not recover adequately for surface-based convection. General expectation is for ascent attendant to this system to support another round of precipitation beginning over east TX after 06Z before expanding northeastward with time. Some very modest buoyancy is possible atop a strong warm noise, with isolated elevated thunderstorms possible. This thunder potential includes areas from east TX across northern/central LA into northern MS where surface temperatures will be below freezing, suggesting some lightning is possible with mixed winter precipitation. ...Southwest... A shortwave trough is forecast to progress cyclonically from central CA into AZ during the period. Cold mid-level temperatures combined with ascent from the shortwave will support the potential for a few isolated thunderstorms across central and southeast AZ and southwest NM from the late afternoon through tonight. ..Mosier/Broyles.. 01/24/2026 Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sat Jan 24 11:31:01 UTC 2026.

MD 0040 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR NORTHWEST/SOUTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL TX...SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0040 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0129 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Areas affected...Northwest/Southwest/North-Central TX...South-Central/Southeast OK Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 240729Z - 241130Z SUMMARY...A mix of freezing rain and sleet is expected to persist from southwest Texas into north-central Texas and south-central/southeast Oklahoma throughout the morning. DISCUSSION...Surface observations around the region currently place the freezing line from Bonham (in Fannin County TX) southwestward through northwest Tarrant County before diving more south-southwestward through San Saba, TX. This orientation puts much of the DFW Metroplex just above freezing, with some temperatures actually increasing a degree or two amid light precipitation and resultant wet bulbing. Even so, continued cold-air advection is anticipated, with temperatures eventually dropping below freezing later this morning. Those areas already below freezing will also see temperatures continue to decrease throughout the morning. Current regional radar imagery shows some banding across north-central TX (northwest of the Metroplex), where strong 850mb warm-air advection is ongoing. Correlation coefficient from KFWS suggests most of this is sleet. Additionally, a large area of light precipitation continues to build upstream of the region amid modest lift attendant to a subtle lead shortwave trough and continued isentropic ascent. Expectation is for precipitation to continue across this region for the next several hours, with sleet as the prominent p-type across southwest/northwest TX and south-central OK. Freezing rain will likely become more common across north-central TX over the next hour or two, with another transition to sleet possible later this morning as the surface continues to cool. ..Mosier.. 01/24/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 33530002 34539740 34689541 33419497 32439587 31120069 32130113 33530002 Read more

MD 0039 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS.
Mesoscale Discussion 0039 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0118 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Areas affected...Far Eastern Oklahoma...Central and Northern Arkansas. Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 240718Z - 241115Z SUMMARY...Heavy snowfall, with rates up to 1 inch per hour, are expected to develop from parts of far eastern Oklahoma eastward across much of central and northern Arkansas over the next several hours. The snow should be mixed with sleet over parts of central Arkansas. DISCUSSION...The latest water vapor imagery shows a mid-level trough in the western U.S., with a belt of strong zonal westerly flow over much of the central and eastern U.S. Lift is currently maximized over the Ark-La-Tex and southern Ozarks, where a shortwave trough appears to moving through the flow, and the right exit region of an expansive mid-level jet is located. Within this zone, radar shows a large area winter precipitation, which is organized into an east-to-west band. This band is being supported by strong lift associated with the northern edge of a 35 to 45 knot low-level jet. As the low-level jet shifts eastward across south-central Arkansas over the next 3 to 6 hours, isentropic lift will become maximized in parts of central and northern Arkansas. Snowfall rates are expected to peak near 1 inch per hour within the heaviest part of the band. On southern edge of the band, a sleet/snow mix is expected. The potential for heavy precipitation should continue over the next four to six hours. ..Broyles/Mosier.. 01/24/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...SHV...TSA... LAT...LON 35809038 35429017 35139019 34919024 34569051 34479078 34429160 34439365 34489446 34619484 34899502 35169505 35579494 35969445 36069279 35989086 35809038 Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 271200Z - 011200Z ...DISCUSSION... Amplified mid-level flow will persist over the US through the remainder of the extended forecast period. Continued troughing in the eastern US will be supported by the arrival of multiple perturbations from southern Canada over the next week. At the same time, strong ridging developing over the West will favor northwesterly flow aloft over the central States. This will allow for multiple reinforcing surges of cold air to replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass. Thus, severe thunderstorms are unlikely through day 8. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 271200Z - 011200Z ...DISCUSSION... Amplified mid-level flow will persist over the US through the remainder of the extended forecast period. Continued troughing in the eastern US will be supported by the arrival of multiple perturbations from southern Canada over the next week. At the same time, strong ridging developing over the West will favor northwesterly flow aloft over the central States. This will allow for multiple reinforcing surges of cold air to replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass. Thus, severe thunderstorms are unlikely through day 8. Read more